Mudança no padrão atmosférico confirma: El Niño está em formação

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Dados do relatório do Instituto Internacional de Pesquisa sobre o Clima e Sociedade, mostram a provável persistência do fenômeno El Niño ao longo do ano de 2023.

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Até agora em consições neutras, a atmosfera do Pacífico equatorial central e leste parece estar assumindo características típicas de um El Niño.

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Esse evento climático global tem efeitos profundos sobre os padrões de tempo e clima em todo o mundo, impactando diretamente a agricultura.

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No mês de maio de 2023, as anomalias negativas da temperatura da superfície do mar que foram observadas anteriormente no Pacífico equatorial central e leste se dissiparam.

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O cenário atual denota uma mudança significativa nos padrões atmosféricos e oceânicos, consistentes com o desenvolvimento de condições do El Niño.

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As projeções do IRI baseadas na pluma de previsão do ENSO, que consiste em diversos modelos climáticos, indicam uma forte probabilidade de que o El Niño persista durante todo o período de previsão.

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Embora existam variações entre os modelos, a maioria sustenta a continuidade do El Niño, refletindo a robustez da previsão.

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